Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

This unofficial St Kilda Saints fan forum is for people of all ages to chat Saints Footy and all posts must be respectful.

Moderators: Saintsational Administrators, Saintsational Moderators

Post Reply
Saint wagga
Club Player
Posts: 1081
Joined: Sat 27 Apr 2013 7:44pm
Been thanked: 52 times

Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487089Post Saint wagga »

Listening to Richo in his post game presser on the W'end...he mentioned how much talent the SUns had on their list in terms of draft picks...we all know the absolutely ridiclous amount of draft talent in the two expansions clubs. Do people think they they're lists will be wholsale raided by all other clubs and in about the next 5 yrs it will really even itself out as that talent is filtered through to other clubs...Its real new frontier kind of stuff for the AFL given those two teams have entire first rounds of draft talent and then all those 17yr old picks as well...i mean the way we are building our talent is promising mixed with senior bodies and the forecast of moving up the ladder is exciting, but are any of the up and coming melbourne teams going to be able to compete at the pointy end of the season...not even factoring in the wealth interstate and melbourne clubs...


User avatar
Griggsy
SS Life Member
Posts: 2524
Joined: Mon 21 Jul 2008 1:41am
Location: WA

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487111Post Griggsy »

Ofcourse, especially GWS. Unless half the players on their list want to play for less than they are worth in their peak. Don't know exact stats but how many top 10 draftees do the have, not including those they got at 16yo. They will keep a core group then get some draft picks to even out their age spread.


citywest

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487216Post citywest »

From 2016 to 2022 GCS and GWS will be as good if not better than Geelong were between 2007 to 2013. I know it's a big call but time will prove this correct. The scary thing is that as they 'lose' players they will be well compensated which will give them even more high draft picks which in turn will keep them at the top even longer. Overall, I can see both GCS and GWS being top 4 teams for at least 10 years in a row. Between 2016 and 2022 they will both be unstoppable. St Kilda has (hopefully), timed their rebuild to perfection. Our team will not be ready for Grand Finals again until 2022 IMHO (forget the spin of the road to 2018 or whatever they are calling it). By then I reckon the 2 expansion clubs will have at least 1 flag each if not 2 which (hopefully), may mean their hunger could be on the decline and open the door for us. 8-) Lets hope so. :lol: Bloody Demetriou in his efforts to grow the game thus ensuring his big fat bonuses he has unwittingly created 2 monsters the AFL has never seen before and may well never see again. :roll:


plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487217Post plugger66 »

citywest wrote:From 2016 to 2022 GCS and GWS will be as good if not better than Geelong were between 2007 to 2013. I know it's a big call but time will prove this correct. The scary thing is that as they 'lose' players they will be well compensated which will give them even more high draft picks which in turn will keep them at the top even longer. Overall, I can see both GCS and GWS being top 4 teams for at least 10 years in a row. Between 2016 and 2022 they will both be unstoppable. St Kilda has (hopefully), timed their rebuild to perfection. Our team will not be ready for Grand Finals again until 2022 IMHO (forget the spin of the road to 2018 or whatever they are calling it). By then I reckon the 2 expansion clubs will have at least 1 flag each if not 2 which (hopefully), may mean their hunger could be on the decline and open the door for us. 8-) Lets hope so. :lol: Bloody Demetriou in his efforts to grow the game thus ensuring his big fat bonuses he has unwittingly created 2 monsters the AFL has never seen before and may well never see again. :roll:

Salary cap stops what you suggest. You still have to have great recruiters and developers. Read my signature.


Bluthy
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 4068
Joined: Wed 29 May 2013 8:05pm

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487226Post Bluthy »

With their lists its like have a full larder of ingredients. But how they put that together by how good the head coach is, what sort of game plan they implement, how well they develop the young players, how strong the club structure is from the top down, is still a big unknown. I wonder too how much money and resources they have seeing as their membership and gates are so low, and sponsors wouldn't exactly be knocking the place down. Premierships often come down to having that 1% advantage through more coaches, recruiters, recovery staff, better facilities etc. I think that's probably where we were disadvantaged which might have been the difference between a premiership and no premiership :(


User avatar
dragit
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13047
Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
Has thanked: 605 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487238Post dragit »

Yes they will be that dominant and no it won't even itself out.

The problem with good players wanting to leave is that these two teams will just recycle the players into more high draft picks…

They have roughly $2,000,000 more salary cap space and the lure of success will mean plenty of players will stay for slightly less.

Even the picks they have gathered by trading state league and mini-draft players is unbelievable.


plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487242Post plugger66 »

dragit wrote:Yes they will be that dominant and no it won't even itself out.

The problem with good players wanting to leave is that these two teams will just recycle the players into more high draft picks…

They have roughly $2,000,000 more salary cap space and the lure of success will mean plenty of players will stay for slightly less.

Even the picks they have gathered by trading state league and mini-draft players is unbelievable.

The SC space is stopping. And recycling players only works if you are already on top. GWS have a long way to go and even GC arent going that well. I reckon if people looked back when both sides started most would have had GC top 4 by now and they probably wont make the 8. If they keep a lot of stars they will have no depth either. They arent going to be as good as everyone thinks IMO but time will tell. At least it wont matter to us for at least another 5 more years so it maybe a good time to be on the bottom.


Saint wagga
Club Player
Posts: 1081
Joined: Sat 27 Apr 2013 7:44pm
Been thanked: 52 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487248Post Saint wagga »

I too am optimistic that it won't be a decade of famine for all bar the two expansion clubs...being a successful team has so many intangibles, luck, timing, spirit, leadership...you get the point...I don't doubt they will both improve and be good teams, but dominate and share half a dozen premierships over a decade...I'm hoping and thinking not!


User avatar
dragit
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13047
Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
Has thanked: 605 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487249Post dragit »

How many A grade players left Brisbane when they played in 4 straight grand finals?

You can already see patches from GWS & Gold Coast that indicate they will be uneatable in a couple more years IMO.


User avatar
bobmurray
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 7515
Joined: Mon 03 Oct 2005 11:08pm
Location: In the stand at RSEA Park.
Has thanked: 423 times
Been thanked: 200 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487250Post bobmurray »

I think both the Suns and Giants lists are currently flawed, those lists will continue to evolve before they have success..

I don't believe they are monty's to win a flag in the near future.


Saints looking like a bottom 4 team in 2024.
plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487251Post plugger66 »

dragit wrote:How many A grade players left Brisbane when they played in 4 straight grand finals?

You can already see patches from GWS & Gold Coast that indicate they will be uneatable in a couple more years IMO.

Im with BM above. I reckon the lists both have some issues. Also Brisbane had extra money in the cap and I think by the time both these sides reach the top they wont. There is nothing to be scared of in the next 5 years because we have no hope of challenging before then. After that GC and GWS will have the same SC and other sides will make it impossible for them to keep all their players. Also they will have many FA at the same time. I wouldnt be to worried.


User avatar
dragit
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13047
Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
Has thanked: 605 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487255Post dragit »

I like to worry.


plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487256Post plugger66 »

dragit wrote:I like to worry.

I dont know how a Saints supporter could like to worry and still be alive.


User avatar
dragit
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 13047
Joined: Tue 29 Jun 2010 11:56am
Has thanked: 605 times
Been thanked: 315 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487266Post dragit »

plugger66 wrote:
dragit wrote:I like to worry.

I dont know how a Saints supporter could like to worry and still be alive.
Xanax and bio-dynamic yoghurt is my secret...


The Redeemer
SS Life Member
Posts: 2622
Joined: Thu 29 Sep 2011 9:45pm

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487287Post The Redeemer »

dragit wrote:How many A grade players left Brisbane when they played in 4 straight grand finals?

You can already see patches from GWS & Gold Coast that indicate they will be uneatable in a couple more years IMO.
A perfect generation for us to develop and take our sweet time in getting better then...


thejiggingsaint
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 9357
Joined: Wed 03 Aug 2005 10:01pm
Has thanked: 634 times
Been thanked: 473 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487692Post thejiggingsaint »

WOW! The Suns and GWS to be as good if not better than Geelong 2007 - 2013 in two seasons time!? You're right! That's a HUGE call! The Suns don't look much without Ablett, and GWS will need to improve BIG TIME to be where Geelong were at the end of 2007. I'm not criticising the submission, simply saying its a massive call.


St Kilda forever 🔴⚪️⚫️ ( God help me)
noob
Club Player
Posts: 1762
Joined: Mon 09 Jun 2008 10:32am

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487710Post noob »

If that's the case we are probably going to have to a pull a rabbit out of the hat to win a premiership. What chance do we have we have if we are peaking with them at the same time?


citywest

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487722Post citywest »

noob wrote:If that's the case we are probably going to have to a pull a rabbit out of the hat to win a premiership. What chance do we have we have if we are peaking with them at the same time?
We do have a chance because we won't be peaking at the same time as GCS and GWS thank God. Saints won't be in the premiership window until at least 2022 so hopefully by then the 2 expansion clubs have already won a flag each as per my above post.


plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487724Post plugger66 »

citywest wrote:
noob wrote:If that's the case we are probably going to have to a pull a rabbit out of the hat to win a premiership. What chance do we have we have if we are peaking with them at the same time?
We do have a chance because we won't be peaking at the same time as GCS and GWS thank God. Saints won't be in the premiership window until at least 2022 so hopefully by then the 2 expansion clubs have already won a flag each as per my above post.

Is that fact or not. I read your signature and I dont quite get it.


User avatar
SaintPav
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 18555
Joined: Wed 16 Jun 2010 9:24pm
Location: Alma Road
Has thanked: 1527 times
Been thanked: 1878 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487765Post SaintPav »

plugger66 wrote:
dragit wrote:How many A grade players left Brisbane when they played in 4 straight grand finals?

You can already see patches from GWS & Gold Coast that indicate they will be uneatable in a couple more years IMO.

Im with BM above. I reckon the lists both have some issues. Also Brisbane had extra money in the cap and I think by the time both these sides reach the top they wont. There is nothing to be scared of in the next 5 years because we have no hope of challenging before then. After that GC and GWS will have the same SC and other sides will make it impossible for them to keep all their players. Also they will have many FA at the same time. I wouldnt be to worried.
That's assuming the AFL don't change the rules for them.

That is a very BIG assumption.


Holder of unacceptable views and other thought crimes.
plugger66
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 50626
Joined: Mon 26 Feb 2007 8:15pm
Location: oakleigh

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1487780Post plugger66 »

SaintPav wrote:
plugger66 wrote:
dragit wrote:How many A grade players left Brisbane when they played in 4 straight grand finals?

You can already see patches from GWS & Gold Coast that indicate they will be uneatable in a couple more years IMO.

Im with BM above. I reckon the lists both have some issues. Also Brisbane had extra money in the cap and I think by the time both these sides reach the top they wont. There is nothing to be scared of in the next 5 years because we have no hope of challenging before then. After that GC and GWS will have the same SC and other sides will make it impossible for them to keep all their players. Also they will have many FA at the same time. I wouldnt be to worried.
That's assuming the AFL don't change the rules for them.

That is a very BIG assumption.

Im happy to assume that.


citywest

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1609843Post citywest »

Bump Postby citywest » Tue 05 Aug 2014 6:59pm
citywest wrote:From 2016 to 2022 GCS and GWS will be as good if not better than Geelong were between 2007 to 2013. I know it's a big call but time will prove this correct. The scary thing is that as they 'lose' players they will be well compensated which will give them even more high draft picks which in turn will keep them at the top even longer. Overall, I can see both GCS and GWS being top 4 teams for at least 10 years in a row. Between 2016 and 2022 they will both be unstoppable. St Kilda has (hopefully), timed their rebuild to perfection. Our team will not be ready for Grand Finals again until 2022 IMHO (forget the spin of the road to 2018 or whatever they are calling it). By then I reckon the 2 expansion clubs will have at least 1 flag each if not 2 which (hopefully), may mean their hunger could be on the decline and open the door for us. 8-) Lets hope so. :lol: Bloody Demetriou in his efforts to grow the game thus ensuring his big fat bonuses he has unwittingly created 2 monsters the AFL has never seen before and may well never see again. :roll:


User avatar
kosifantutti
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 8572
Joined: Fri 21 Jan 2005 9:06am
Location: Back in town
Has thanked: 525 times
Been thanked: 1523 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1609849Post kosifantutti »

Look at me!


Macquarie Dictionary Word of the Year for 2023 "Kosi Lives"
Playon
Club Player
Posts: 1959
Joined: Sun 16 Oct 2011 11:10am

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1609851Post Playon »

kosifantutti wrote:Look at me!
Why? are you baiting?

If nobody wants to reply, dont, it'll soon get lost


User avatar
SaintPav
Saintsational Legend
Posts: 18555
Joined: Wed 16 Jun 2010 9:24pm
Location: Alma Road
Has thanked: 1527 times
Been thanked: 1878 times

Re: Suns, GWS and the next 5 years...

Post: # 1609863Post SaintPav »

Playon wrote:
kosifantutti wrote:Look at me!
Why? are you baiting?

If nobody wants to reply, dont, it'll soon get lost
Kosi is not the one baiting


Holder of unacceptable views and other thought crimes.
Post Reply