moving back to a 12-14 team comp would be best as we could have a full H&A season. If we lose some struggling vic clubs it will also stop the unfair selling of home games from which clubs like collingwood benefit.Junction Oval wrote:Clearly a very difficult question, as the number of different ideas coming from the few posters on this thread, have indicated.
My view - let things lay as they are for the next 5 years. The economics are the driver and Melbourne in particular will not be able to support a 2-tier system. Members by the bucket load will drop off the tier 2 teams, advertisers will not want tier 2 matches, the overall TV audience/revenue will drop. The "bottom 6" poor players will turn into the "bottom 12 poor players" in tier 2 teams and they will never get back on top.
As can be seen overseas, the few wealthy clubs dominate their codes.
Revenue is the key to Club sustainability and most Clubs are carrying a lot of debt. As the weaker performing Clubs lose members/following and TV ratings for them fall, so the AFL rights will begin to diminish and the AFL will no longer want to sustain them.
The competitiion will get stronger if a few Clubs go/amalgamate - Safe = Carlton, Collingwood, Essendon, Geelong. Should stay - Hawthorn, Richmond, St Kilda. Doubtful - move/amalgamate - Western Bulldogs, Melbourne, North Melbourne. Port Adelaide will not last more than a few more years.
but the afl simply sees it as more games each week = more money.
but if we had two teams in each state bar tassie (1) and vic that gives us 8 plus 1 from tas and 1 (eventually) from nt or act = ten. room for four vic clubs only. the rest need to drop to the vfl. that would include us.
st kilda will not survive in the afl if it continues in the current format as a single victorian based entity.
this is the reality of where the afl must head unless it accepts a large competition and a compromised draw. if it accepts this imagine how much a team would struggle to attract supporters if for years they were in the bottom five of 20 clubs? especially if they were a victorian club. they would do it harder than a club fighting for promotion.
I'd rather we were in division 2 of a national league for the ocassional few years than gone forever.
maybe conferences are the way to go instead of 2 divisions, but without either of these models st kilda are most likely doomed.