Ladder Predictor

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Rosco
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Post: # 1118213Post Rosco »

jonesy wrote:I have us missing the 8 :?
how?

(beyond us losing all 4 games to start with)

freo winning 3 of 4 (carlton in perth, north in melb, filth in the perth, dogs in melb) and us winning no more than 1 of 4?
Last edited by Rosco on Wed 10 Aug 2011 12:41am, edited 2 times in total.


Richter
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Post: # 1118214Post Richter »

I make it that if we beat the Swans, then we can lose the other 3 games and will still most likely make 6th by percentage from the Swans (7th) and Bombers (8th) - all teams finishing on 11.5 wins.

So that big win against the Crows could prove to be vital in securing the home final!


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Post: # 1118283Post jonesy »

Rosco wrote:
jonesy wrote:I have us missing the 8 :?
how?

(beyond us losing all 4 games to start with)

freo winning 3 of 4 (carlton in perth, north in melb, filth in the perth, dogs in melb) and us winning no more than 1 of 4?
If we lose all 4,which is not an absurd possibility(probably 50%),and Melbourne win there last 3 which is likely,we will finish 10th.

You'd hope we can win one game at least,but no way will we beat Pies or Carlton,swans will be favourite at home,and North is 50/50 the way they are playing atm.

Talk of a home final is a long way off at this stage


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matrix
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Post: # 1118287Post matrix »

no way we'll beat carlton???

i give us a BIG sniff in that game
stop judd and gibs

they will struggle with our forward line
all we need to do is read THEIR ruckman

big chance imo


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stinger
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Post: # 1118290Post stinger »

matrix wrote:no way we'll beat carlton???

i give us a BIG sniff in that game
stop judd and gibs

they will struggle with our forward line
all we need to do is read THEIR ruckman

big chance imo

once more we agree...although i don't remember when this first happened... :wink: 8-)


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Post: # 1118293Post tony74 »

I reckon we will win only one of the next two. But I have no idea which of those will be the winner!


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St. Luke
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Post: # 1118294Post St. Luke »

If we lose all 4 we don't deserve a crack at finals. I've got us losing one, and that's against the Pies. Even then, I think we'll come close to winning it on Friday night.


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Post: # 1118296Post SaintPav »

jonesy wrote:
Rosco wrote:
jonesy wrote:I have us missing the 8 :?
how?

(beyond us losing all 4 games to start with)

freo winning 3 of 4 (carlton in perth, north in melb, filth in the perth, dogs in melb) and us winning no more than 1 of 4?
If we lose all 4,which is not an absurd possibility(probably 50%),and Melbourne win there last 3 which is likely,we will finish 10th.

You'd hope we can win one game at least,but no way will we beat Pies or Carlton,swans will be favourite at home,and North is 50/50 the way they are playing atm.

Talk of a home final is a long way off at this stage
Our recent form suggests we will drop the next four. I think you're on to something.


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matrix
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Post: # 1118297Post matrix »

good lord if we lose to swans and north we need to have a good hard look at ourselves


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Post: # 1118317Post noob »

win one of the sydney or nm games and we'll make it. Beat sydney alone and most likely stay 6th.


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kosifantutti23
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Post: # 1118373Post kosifantutti23 »

jonesy wrote:
If we lose all 4,which is not an absurd possibility(probably 50%),and Melbourne win there last 3 which is likely,we will finish 10th.

You'd hope we can win one game at least,but no way will we beat Pies or Carlton,swans will be favourite at home,and North is 50/50 the way they are playing atm.

Talk of a home final is a long way off at this stage
Astounding logic, I particularly like the application of advanced probability theory.

We're 50/50 against North, and 50% chance to win nothing.


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Post: # 1118379Post plugger66 »

kosifantutti23 wrote:
jonesy wrote:
If we lose all 4,which is not an absurd possibility(probably 50%),and Melbourne win there last 3 which is likely,we will finish 10th.

You'd hope we can win one game at least,but no way will we beat Pies or Carlton,swans will be favourite at home,and North is 50/50 the way they are playing atm.

Talk of a home final is a long way off at this stage
Astounding logic, I particularly like the application of advanced probability theory.

We're 50/50 against North, and 50% chance to win nothing.
Well if we were nil chance against the other 3 that would be right.


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kosifantutti23
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Post: # 1118393Post kosifantutti23 »

I rate us as more than 0% in all three matches.

He also has us somehow losing our 28% gap to Melbourne to finish below them on the same number of points.


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Post: # 1118402Post plugger66 »

kosifantutti23 wrote:I rate us as more than 0% in all three matches.

He also has us somehow losing our 28% gap to Melbourne to finish below them on the same number of points.
I am not disagreeing with you. He is wrong. Even GC are more than a nil chance against the pies.


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Post: # 1118420Post degruch »

matrix wrote:no way we'll beat carlton???

i give us a BIG sniff in that game
stop judd and gibs

they will struggle with our forward line
all we need to do is read THEIR ruckman

big chance imo
Absolutely agree. Narrowly missed last time, despite being in horrible form before and after. We're a good chance to get up, especially if we clinically eliminate North before.


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Post: # 1118486Post older saint »

See us losing to coll beating Syd and North and Carlton 50/50 game.

Carl may depend upon if they cannot move up , which would mean they may rest players.

Beat Sydney most likely home final v Sydney


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kosifantutti23
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Post: # 1131393Post kosifantutti23 »

jonesy wrote:
Rosco wrote:
jonesy wrote:I have us missing the 8 :?
how?

(beyond us losing all 4 games to start with)

freo winning 3 of 4 (carlton in perth, north in melb, filth in the perth, dogs in melb) and us winning no more than 1 of 4?
If we lose all 4,which is not an absurd possibility(probably 50%),and Melbourne win there last 3 which is likely,we will finish 10th.

You'd hope we can win one game at least,but no way will we beat Pies or Carlton,swans will be favourite at home,and North is 50/50 the way they are playing atm.

Talk of a home final is a long way off at this stage
I'm so glad we managed to finish above Melbourne.

I shouldn't bump this but it was the stupidest comment I read all year.


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St. Luke
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Post: # 1131448Post St. Luke »

I was reading a paper from back in May today. Ross Lyon all but conceding we wouldn't make finals, as things were dire straights in the Saints camp. Interesting how it can all change. For all we know, the best footy we've ever seen may be in the coming weeks. Not too hard to believe a Saints fan should always have faith, even when things look grim. Go Saints!


When they created LENNY HAYES (in the shadow of Harvs) they forgot to break the mold (again)- hence the Supremely Incredible Jack Steven!!
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