Picks 18 to 25 - pot luck?

[cwrcyn]

Let's hope the 2013 group is not like the 2005 & 2006 ones. Ouch!

2008 was a ripper though, with the exception of Melbourne's selection of James Strauss and West Coast's Tom Swift.

2009 was pretty good, too.


2005

Max Bailey
Courtenay Dempsey
Paul Bower
Danny Stanley
Beau Muston
Ryan Cook
Cleve Hughes
Wade Mills

2006

Leroy Jetta
Shaun Grigg
Tom Hislop
Gavin Urqhart
Albert Proud
Paul Stewart
Brent Renouf
Nathan Djekerrah

2007

Alex Rance
Callan Ward
Tony Notte
Adam Maric
Scott Selwood
Tayte Pears
Clayton Hinkley
Tom Collier


2008

Luke Shuey
James Strauss
Tom Swift
Hayden Ballantyne
Jackson Trengove
David Zaharakis
Nick Suban
Jack Redden

2009

Luke Tapscott
Ben Griffiths
Nathan Fyfe
Ryan Bastinac
Gerrick Wheedon
Koby Stevens
Jake Carlisle
Aaron Black


2010

Matthew Watson
Isaac Smith
Jayden Pitt
Jed Lamb
Mitch Wallis
Cameron Guthrie
Jamie Cripps
Patrick Karnezis

[Eastern]

If you listen to all the "So Called Experts" this year will be a lottery from #6 to #40 !!

[cwrcyn]

48 players in that list. About 15 have a chance to play 200 games based on form. Six of those fifteen are from the same year. So that's 9 out of the remaining 39.

You have to smart and you have to be lucky.

[dragit]

48 players in that list. About 15 have a chance to play 200 games based on form. Six of those fifteen are from the same year. So that's 9 out of the remaining 39.

You have to smart and you have to be lucky.

And clearly sometimes there just aren't good players available.

[BigMart]

Without researching I reckon 18-25 stats over the years are better than 26-32.... And I reckon they might be better than 33-40 picks?

[Beekay]

First one I looked at... 2008... picks 26-32/// Jayden Post, Sam Wright, Dayne Beams, Daniel Hannerbery, Jordan Roughead, Liam Jones

No matter what draft you look at, it's pretty damn random. Hopefully we finally get a stroke of great luck.

[FQF]

Of that list, news just emerging that Jed Lamb has walked out of Sydney to GWS.

Buddy Buddy Buddy...

[mick13]

Apparently it's a very even draft up til around 20-25. Having 18, 19 and 25 we'd have to hit at least one of them, surely!

[cwrcyn]

I think you'll find the 2nd round hit rate is much the same as the 3rd round, with the 3rd round doing better in some years. From 18 to 38 I reckon it's definitely hit or miss. May as well put the draftee names in a hat and pull them out at random. You'd most likely get the same result over a 5 year period.