Free Kick Differential for 2023 H&A Season ...... well, well, well!!!!!!

[Sainter_Dad]

It is a common fallacy to believe that if you are in the positive it's because the umpires are looking after you and if you're in the negative then they are cheats. It COULD be that the team is just playing sloppy vs playing smart.

Hence the differential in the Geelong game - they were not interested in the game at all

[Sainter_Dad]

Definitive Listing for the 200's

Year	For	Against	Differential
2000	375	420	-45
2001	334	320	14
2002	353	309	44
2003	304	349	-45
2004	372	359	13
2005	470	401	69
2006	382	397	-15
2007	461	414	47
2008	501	523	-22
2009	484	421	63
2010	450	504	-54
2011	449	491	-42
2012	404	396	8
2013	355	394	-39
2014	341	369	-28
2015	393	457	-64
2016	370	392	-22
2017	392	374	18
2018	410	464	-54
2019	398	464	-66
2020	292	299	-7
2021	401	433	-32
2022	434	468	-34
2023	435	358	77

9 positives in 23 years
3 positives in 13 years

[The_Dud]

And since 1965 we’re +890 for free kicks, how big a sample size you want to cherry pick?

[Sainter_Dad]

Dud

What are you on?

If you are implying that the sample size was selected to indicate an unfair against then I would have stopped at 2010 as that is about 25% of the years we were positive - instead I showed 23 years showing that early 2000’s we were favored. I was merely providing data in answer to various posts.

Do you shout at the wind?
Do you read a post before mashing the keyboard?

I don’t think the count matters - it is where and when and the missed ones that upset me.

But Wailing Dud - go ahead and mash your keyboard! Do you use your forehead to type as well?

[saynta]

Dud

What are you on?

If you are implying that the sample size was selected to indicate an unfair against then I would have stopped at 2010 as that is about 25% of the years we were positive - instead I showed 23 years showing that early 2000’s we were favored. I was merely providing data in answer to various posts.

Do you shout at the wind?
Do you read a post before mashing the keyboard?

I don’t think the count matters - it is where and when and the missed ones that upset me.

But Wailing Dud - go ahead and mash your keyboard! Do you use your forehead to type as well?

[samuraisaint]

Roar of affirmation rules!

[The_Dud]

Dud

What are you on?

If you are implying that the sample size was selected to indicate an unfair against then I would have stopped at 2010 as that is about 25% of the years we were positive - instead I showed 23 years showing that early 2000’s we were favored. I was merely providing data in answer to various posts.

Do you shout at the wind?
Do you read a post before mashing the keyboard?

I don’t think the count matters - it is where and when and the missed ones that upset me.

But Wailing Dud - go ahead and mash your keyboard! Do you use your forehead to type as well?

Sorry, didn’t mean to trigger you SD

[Vortex]

It is a common fallacy to believe that if you are in the positive it's because the umpires are looking after you and if you're in the negative then they are cheats. It COULD be that the team is just playing sloppy vs playing smart.

Hence the differential in the Geelong game - they were not interested in the game at all

Wash your mouth out.

We beat them at full strength and at the top of their game attempting to go back-to-back.

[perfectionist]

Three holes in the ground.

[B.M]

Whispers in the sky!!!!

What’s the differential since then

[desertsaint]

it's a crap shoot. it really is. like spinning that silver ball on the roulette wheel.
a perfect example is comparing 2009 with 2010. what could possibly explain such a large differential other than pure roll of the dice luck (or unconscious umpire bias if you're that way inclined) so many frees are missed/ignored every game and many are wrongly adjudicated. hence the rub of the green plays a big part in our game. this year we got lucky. long may it continue.